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All data as of 10.31.09, unless otherwise indicated. 
Allianz RCM Global Resources Fund
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Allianz RCM Global Resources Review
09/30/2009
Market Review

Natural Resources stocks continued to perform strongly in the third quarter, and continue to lead the broader market year to date. Stocks were driven higher by increased investor confidence in a gradually improving global economy supported by a synchronous improvement in global economic data, rising commodity prices, and rising earnings expectations. Volatility remained high, with many stocks experiencing moves during the period of 20% or more. Visibility on a resumption in earnings growth for the sector has improved materially. Many companies have taken the opportunity to further strengthen balance sheets and reduce costs in anticipation of improved demand in the future.

 

At current levels, we continue to find the valuations of many stocks in our universe attractive. Supply of most natural resources remains constrained, and we believe the resumption of investor confidence in the demand growth thesis is necessary to enable the stocks to recover and begin the next leg higher.

Performance Commentary

For the three months ended September 30, 2009, the Allianz RCM Global Resources Fund significantly outperformed the MSCI World Energy & Materials custom benchmark. Over the quarter, strong stock selection among energy companies as well as materials companies helped the Fund overcome the modest headwind provided by slightly negative sector allocation.

 

Our oil services overweight has been a consistent theme in the Fund for four years, and during the quarter several holdings in this subsector continued to rally from their lows to make a positive contribution to relative performance. Our emphasis within the sector on companies with higher exposure to international and offshore operations paid off, as National Oilwell Varco, BJ Services, and Noble Corp all delivered strong relative performance, partially offset by underperformance in Weatherford. In our view, earnings expectations for the subsector have become attainable for the current year, and may be too conservative for next year. At current levels, we believe valuations in the oil services sector are still attractive from a historical perspective. Looking over the long term, we continue to expect that strong growth in oil company capital spending on exploration and production, especially offshore and in international markets, should benefit the oil services companies.

 

We maintain a positive long term view of well positioned companies within the Exploration and Production segment, which was a positive contributor to performance during the quarter. Within the sector Sandridge, Carrizo, Anadarko, and Newfield Exploration were the top performers. The Fund will generally continue to favor those E&P companies that we believe will be able to deliver the highest growth in production and reserves over time, while maintaining a return on invested capital above the peer group and a strong balance sheet. Similar to the oil services sector, we believe that the valuations of the E&P sector remain attractive.

 

Our modest relative underweight to the Materials sector was a negative contributor to performance, but this was offset by positive stock selection. Teck Resources, Cliffs Natural Resources, Vale, and Freeport McMoRan were all very strong performers in the quarter. We have been increasing the allocation of the Fund to Materials as we anticipate continued improvement in the economic data for the consumers of materials, in particular China and the emerging markets. We believe the economic stabilization and recovery in China remains the key issue for Materials stocks, and will look for opportunities to become more involved in the sector as we continue to assess this key variable.

Outlook

Over the long term, RCM believes the secular case for energy is still sound. We believe global oil supply will remain challenged by the continued depletion of existing oil fields, declining OPEC spare capacity, production growth difficulties outside of OPEC, heightened risks of supply disruptions, and in particular, significant underinvestment in the development of additional oil reserves. Global oil demand is currently declining, and will likely remain negative during 2009. We expect a modest recovery in demand to occur in 2010, driven higher by economic expansion, especially in developing countries. Over time, RCM believes the market’s long-term price expectations for oil and natural gas should continue to trend higher, which should help support valuations in the energy sector. We expect that additional climate change legislation, combined with growing consumer demand, will continue to be supportive of our position in the Alternative Energy sector. Within the Materials sector, we expect that base metals prices will also continue to fluctuate within a wide range, but higher production costs should keep prices above historic averages.


Investors should consider the investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses of this Fund carefully before investing. This and other information is contained in the Fund´s prospectus and summary prospectus, if available, which may be obtained by contacting your financial advisor, or by calling 888-877-4626. Click here for the Fund´s prospectus or summary prospectus. Please read them carefully before you invest or send money.

Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Current and future portfolio holdings are subject to risk. This article contains the current opinions of the manager, which are subject to change without notice. It should not be considered investment advice. Statements concerning financial market trends are based on current market conditions, which will fluctuate. References to specific securities and issuers are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to be, and should not be interpreted as, recommendations to purchase or sell such securities. There is no guarantee that these investment strategies will work under all market conditions, and each investor should evaluate their ability to invest for the long-term.

 

This Fund will normally invest its assets in the natural resources sector, with a portion its assets invested in non-U.S. securities. The Fund may invest in emerging market securities and in the securities of smaller companies. Concentrating assets in the natural resources sector adds risk compared to a more diversified portfolio. Investing in non-U.S. securities may entail risk due to foreign economic and political developments; this risk may be enhanced when investing in emerging markets. Investments in smaller companies may be more volatile than investments in larger companies. This Fund may use derivative instruments for leverage, hedging purposes or as part of its investment strategy. Use of these instruments may involve certain costs and risks such as liquidity risk, interest rate risk, market risk, credit risk, management risk and the risk that a Fund could not close out a position when it would be most advantageous to do so. Portfolios investing in derivatives could lose more than the principal amount invested in those instruments. The Fund is non-diversified, which means it may incur greater risk by concentrating its assets in a smaller number of issuers than a diversified fund.

 

*Prior to November 1, 2006, performance data for the MSCI index was calculated gross of dividend tax withholding. Performance data presently shown for the Index is net of dividend tax withholding. This recalculation results in lower performance for the Index.

 

The Morgan Stanley Capital International (MSCI) World Index is an unmanaged market-weighted index that consists of over 1,200 securities traded in 22 of the world’s most developed countries. Securities are listed on exchanges in the U.S., Europe, Canada, Australia, New Zealand, and the Far East. The MSCI World Energy & Materials Composite benchmark represents the performance of a hypothetical index developed by the Adviser. This composite is derived from the World Energy and World Materials components of the unmanaged MSCI World Index. The two components are weighted in the composite based on the market capitalization of those sectors from the prior month. As a result, the weightings of the two components in the composite may vary from month to month. Unless otherwise noted, index returns reflect the reinvestment of dividends and capital gains, if any, but do not reflect fees, brokerage commissions or other expenses of investing. An investor cannot invest directly in an index.

 

Allianz Funds are distributed by Allianz Global Investors Distributors LLC, 1345 Avenue of the Americas, New York, NY, 10105-4800, www.allianzinvestors.com . © 2009.

 

NOT FDIC INSURED / MAY LOSE VALUE / NOT BANK GUARANTEED

 

Click here to view the Fund's top ten holdings and current sector weightings. All holdings are subject to change.

 

Click here to view the Fund's current month-end performance.


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